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Numbers nerd Nate Silver's forecasts prove all right on election night 07 Nov 2012 One big winner of US election night was the statistical guru and unashamed numbers nerd Nate Silver, who correctly predicted not only Barack Obama's victory but the outcome of the presidential contest in all 50 states. Silver, the political forecaster at the New York Times, infuriated Republicans in the closing days of the race by arguing on his blog FiveThirtyEight.com that Obama's chances of winning were steadily increasing. His final forecast gave Obama a 90.9% chance of victory. Silver also forecast 332 electoral college votes for Obama against 206 for Romney - the actual result, assuming Obama's Florida victory is confirmed.